euroflation.

Euro area · Harmonised inflation & ECB policy

The euro area is running at 3.8% inflation — above the ECB's 2% target.

An independent tracker of official Eurostat & ECB data: every eurozone country, the ECB rates that bond markets imply, and what it means.

ECB deposit facility rate
2.50%
▲ 25 bps
16 Sept 2026 · Source: ECB
Last move
▲ 25 bps · 16 Sept
€STR (overnight)
2.44%
Euro-area HICP · annual rate
3.8%
▲ 0.6 pp MoM
vs target
+1.8 pp
Source: Eurostat (HICP, prc_hicp_minr) · data through September 2026 · modifications: none

Inflation by country

Harmonised annual rate (HICP), September 2026. Sorted highest to lowest. →

🇷🇴Romania6.5%September 2026▼ 2.1
🇱🇹Lithuania6.1%September 2026▲ 2.4
🇧🇬Bulgaria5.6%September 2026▲ 1.6
🇮🇸Iceland5.4%September 2026▲ 1.2
🇨🇾Cyprus5.2%September 2026▲ 5.2
🇱🇺Luxembourg5.2%September 2026▲ 2.1
🇬🇷Greece5.1%September 2026▲ 3.3
🇪🇸Spain5.0%September 2026▲ 2.0
🇧🇪Belgium4.5%September 2026▲ 1.8
🇭🇷Croatia4.3%September 2026▼ 0.3
🇮🇹Italy4.2%September 2026▲ 2.5
🇵🇱Poland4.0%September 2026▲ 1.1
🇮🇪Ireland3.8%September 2026▲ 1.1
🇸🇮Slovenia3.7%September 2026▲ 0.9
🇦🇹Austria3.6%September 2026▼ 0.3
🇵🇹Portugal3.6%September 2026▲ 1.7
🇫🇷France3.4%September 2026▲ 2.3
🇳🇴Norway3.4%September 2026▼ 0.2
🇩🇪Germany3.3%September 2026▲ 1.0
🇪🇪Estonia3.1%September 2026▼ 2.2
🇱🇻Latvia3.0%September 2026▼ 1.2
🇳🇱Netherlands3.0%September 20260.0
🇸🇰Slovakia3.0%September 2026▼ 1.6
🇫🇮Finland2.7%September 2026▲ 0.5
🇲🇹Malta2.4%September 20260.0
🇨🇿Czechia2.2%September 2026▲ 0.2
🇩🇰Denmark2.1%September 2026▼ 0.1
🇭🇺Hungary2.1%September 2026▼ 2.2
🇨🇭Switzerland1.2%September 2026▲ 1.2
🇸🇪Sweden1.0%September 2026▼ 2.2
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What bond markets imply for ECB rates

Euro-area AAA government bond yields imply short-term rates of about 3.10% in a year, above today's 2.50% deposit facility rate.

Forward rates implied by euro-area AAA government bond yields, 22 October 2026
HorizonForward rateAgainst the deposit rate
Today: deposit facility rate2.50%–
In 3 months2.73%+0.23 pp
In 6 months2.92%+0.42 pp
In 9 months3.04%+0.54 pp
In 1 year3.10%+0.60 pp
In 18 months3.15%+0.65 pp
In 2 years3.16%+0.66 pp

These are forward rates read off the euro-area AAA government bond yield curve. They include a term premium, so they are bond-market prices, not the ECB's guidance and not a forecast by euroflation.

What analysts surveyed by the ECB expect ↗ · ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts, results page (in English)

Source: ECB Data Portal, yield curve (YC), AAA government bonds, instantaneous forward rates · 22 October 2026. Differences from the deposit rate: euroflation calculation.

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Eurozone inflation — common questions

What is the eurozone inflation rate right now?
Euro-area harmonised inflation (HICP) is 3.8% as of September 2026, measured against the European Central Bank's 2% target.
What is HICP?
HICP is the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices — the EU-wide, like-for-like measure of consumer-price inflation. It is the figure the European Central Bank targets at 2% and the only measure that lets you compare inflation across euro-area countries on the same definition.
Why is inflation different in each eurozone country?
All 21 members share one ECB interest rate, but their consumer baskets, energy mix and stage of economic convergence differ. Lower-income, faster-converging members (the Baltics, Bulgaria) tend to run hotter, especially when energy and food prices move, while large mature economies sit nearer the average.
When is eurozone inflation data updated?
Eurostat publishes HICP monthly: a flash estimate at the start of the month and a final release around mid-month. euroflation re-syncs daily from the official source, and the final value always replaces the flash for the same month.
What is the ECB's inflation target?
The European Central Bank targets 2% inflation over the medium term, measured by the euro-area HICP. Its main policy rate, the deposit facility rate, is currently 2.50%.